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Critical Infrastructure Watch

Is the outrage you're seeing actually local?

Researchers have documented foreign-linked influence networks targeting the Imperial Valley Data Center debate — the same playbook used against rare-earth mining in Texas and data center projects in Oregon, Ohio, and Virginia. Authentic local concerns are real. Manufactured ones are now mixed in with them.

The short version

The proposed Imperial Valley Data Center sits at the intersection of two strategic U.S. priorities: hyperscale AI compute and lithium production from the Salton Sea geothermal field. Both are subjects of active foreign influence operations. The goal of these operations is not to convince you of any specific argument — it is to amplify hostility around a real local debate until elected officials freeze the project in permanent litigation and political gridlock.

That doesn't mean every critic of the IVDC is a foreign agent. The vast majority are neighbors with honest concerns about water, electricity, and quality of life. Those concerns deserve a real answer. The problem is that troll networks deliberately pour fuel on those concerns to push the local debate past the point of resolution.

What the research actually says

200+ Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior networks Meta has disrupted across 68 countries since 2017
70–90% Share of the global battery supply chain currently controlled by the People's Republic of China
40% Share of global lithium demand the Salton Sea brines could potentially supply

The networks researchers focus on most heavily are PRC-linked operations called Spamouflage and Dragonbridge, identified by threat researchers in 2019. Both have evolved significantly. Recent campaigns deploy a tactic researchers call MAGAflage: operatives create convincing personas posing as right-wing Americans or deeply concerned local environmental activists, then push synchronized talking points across Facebook, X, Reddit, and YouTube to saturate the information environment around a specific local fight.

Dragonbridge operatives have already run this playbook against U.S. critical-mineral infrastructure once. In Texas, they masqueraded as concerned local residents to incite protests against rare-earth processing facilities operated by Lynas, Appia, and USA Rare Earths — companies essential to breaking China's grip on the battery supply chain. Imperial County's combination of a hyperscale AI data center and the largest known U.S. lithium reserve makes it an obvious next target.

How the manipulation pipeline works

Foreign influence operations don't try to convince you of anything directly. They work by getting your neighbors to do it for them.

Step 1

Fake accounts seed the conversation

Networks of automated or paid profiles join local Facebook groups, hijack local hashtags, and flood comment threads with hyper-aggressive claims about pollution, water depletion, and corruption.

Step 2

Algorithms reward the outrage

Facebook and X reward emotionally charged content with more reach. The artificial negativity gets pushed to the top of feeds belonging to real residents who would otherwise never see it.

Step 3

Real neighbors absorb the framing

Residents who started with mild concerns are now exposed to a manufactured consensus that the project is an apocalyptic threat. They begin sharing the content, attending hearings, and genuinely advocating against the project — using talking points seeded by the bots.

Step 4

Foreign operators step back

Once the local population is doing the work, the bot accounts can fall silent. Local officials face overwhelming — though artificially amplified — backlash and default to moratoriums, environmental litigation, or outright cancellation.

How to tell if a voice in your feed is actually local

Researchers studying Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior have published a consistent set of signals. None of these alone proves a profile is fake, but a cluster of them is a strong signal.

Signals worth checking before you share

  • Account history. The profile has no posts about local schools, churches, sports, businesses, or weather — only data center hostility.
  • Posting cadence. Identical talking points appear from dozens of accounts within minutes of each other.
  • Hashtag hijacking. Accounts attach data center criticism to unrelated local hashtags to extend reach.
  • Tone mismatch. Language is more hyperbolic and apocalyptic than how your actual neighbors talk at a coffee shop.
  • No human friction. The profile never argues with itself, never admits uncertainty, never updates a claim after new information appears.
  • AI-style errors. Comments have an oddly polished but emotionally generic quality, or contain phrases that read as machine-translated.

The honest complication: it isn't only foreign actors

Domestic corporate campaigns are also targeting this debate. A super PAC called Leading the Future has funded a shadow group called Build American AI, which reportedly pays social media influencers thousands of dollars per video to push narratives framing China's AI development as an existential threat — conveniently arguing for deregulation of the U.S. AI industry. Pro-deregulation advocacy groups have also pushed a "Propaganda Theory" that broadly labels all local opposition as foreign-orchestrated, which itself becomes a tool for dismissing legitimate civic engagement.

The honest framing is this: both foreign troll networks and domestic corporate astroturf operations are trying to manipulate this debate. Healthy skepticism of both is the only defensible position. Independent cybersecurity researchers consistently conclude that foreign operations are riding the wave of authentic American grievances — not inventing the wave from scratch.

A National Bureau of Economic Research study found that U.S. data centers consume an estimated 5–6% of national electricity and generate roughly $25 billion in external damages from local air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions per year. Those numbers are real. Local concerns about water, electricity costs, and quality of life are grounded in measurable impacts. The job of an informed resident is to engage those concerns honestly while refusing to let bot-amplified outrage decide the outcome.

What to do

  1. Check the account before you share. Click the profile. Look at six months of posts. Are they actually a neighbor?
  2. Demand transparency from the developer. Authentic community trust is the only real defense against this. Project sponsors who use legal shortcuts to skip environmental review create exactly the kind of grievance these networks exploit.
  3. Demand transparency from the loudest critics too. Who is paying for the ads in your feed? Who is paying the influencers? Who runs the page running the boycott?
  4. Show up in person. Board of Supervisors meetings, county hearings, neighborhood association meetings — these still happen with humans in a room. Bot networks cannot.
  5. Read the actual record. The court order, the zoning ordinance, the environmental analysis. Not the meme version of the court order.

Go deeper

Dragonbridge: the specific PRC-linked network targeting U.S. infrastructure →

Sources

  1. RAND Corporation. Emerging Domestic Battery Supply Chain Should Be Wary of China's Information Ops. rand.org
  2. Meta. Recapping Our 2022 Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior Enforcements. about.fb.com
  3. Google Threat Analysis Group. New efforts to disrupt DRAGONBRIDGE spam activity. blog.google
  4. Institute for Strategic Dialogue. Pro-CCP Spamouflage campaign experiments with new tactics targeting the US. isdglobal.org
  5. Industrial Cyber. Chinese hackers use Dragonbridge campaign to target rare earth mining companies. industrialcyber.co
  6. Lowy Institute. An element of doubt: Rare earths targeted in disinfo campaign. lowyinstitute.org
  7. National Bureau of Economic Research. Measuring the Impact of Data Centers in the United States Economy: Monetary Damage from Air Pollution and Greenhouse Gas Emissions. nber.org
  8. Semafor. China becomes a scapegoat for US data center backlash. semafor.com
  9. Tech Oversight Project. ICYMI: OpenAI, Palantir, Andreessen Horowitz-Funded Dark Money. techoversight.org
  10. Australian Government Department of Industry. Safeguarding against foreign interference in the critical minerals sector. industry.gov.au
  11. Bipartisan Policy Center. Coordinated Influence Operations: Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt. bipartisanpolicy.org
  12. U.S. State Department. Weapons of Mass Distraction: Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age. state.gov